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Derating Analysis · Chapter 4

Worked Example

The method applied end-to-end on a concrete system, with numbers.

Consider the power-distribution board of a small satellite: the card that takes the regulated bus, protects it, and feeds the payload and the avionics. It is deliberately none of the systems the industry examples carry. The ratings and the limits below are illustrative teaching values in the shape the standards use, and a real analysis takes them from whichever of the five documents the contract names.

The policy, settled once:

Policy itemThis analysis
Rule setOne named standard, applied to every part on the board
Application classLong-life, unmanned, not repairable
Stress-ratio ceilings0.50 for tantalum, relays and resistor power; 0.75 for semiconductors and magnetics
Temperature caps110 °C junction for semiconductors, 85 °C for tantalum and relays, 125 °C for the resistor
Operating conditionHot case: 55 °C baseplate, maximum bus voltage, full payload load

The board, on both axes

Eight parts, each with its applied stress, its own temperature from the thermal model, and the two checks:

PartAppliedRatedSAllowedTempCapVerdict
R14 · metal-film resistor0.09 W0.25 W at 70 °C0.440.5085 °C125 °Cpass
C7 · solid tantalum16 V35 V0.460.5060 °C85 °Cpass
C12 · solid tantalum12 V16 V0.750.5062 °C85 °Cover on ratio
Q3 · power MOSFET48 V100 V0.480.7573 °C110 °Cpass
D2 · rectifier diode1.9 A3.0 A0.630.7588 °C110 °Cpass
U5 · linear regulator2.4 Wratios all ≤ 0.500.500.75152 °C110 °Cover on temperature
K1 · relay contacts3.2 A5 A resistive0.640.5070 °C85 °Cover on ratio
L2 · inductor2.1 A3.0 A0.700.7595 °C130 °Cpass

Three violations in eight parts, and they are not the same kind of finding.

C12 and K1: over on the stress ratio

The capacitor is the classic. Somebody needed a 12 V rail decoupled, found a 16 V tantalum in the library, and used it: 12 / 16 = 0.75 against a ceiling of 0.50. Nothing about the board is hot, nothing is unusual, and the part is inside its own rating. It is a procurement decision that was never checked, and it is fixed by a part number: a 35 V part on the same rail gives 12 / 35 = 0.34.

The relay is the same shape with a twist. Its contacts are rated 5 A resistive, and the 3.2 A they carry is into a capacitive payload load, which is the condition its rating was not quoted at. Even on the resistive number it is 0.64 against 0.50.

U5: over on temperature, with every ratio comfortable

The regulator's input voltage is half its rating, its output current is half its rating, and every stress ratio on the row passes with room to spare. It is a linear regulator dropping 2.4 watts in a package with a 28 K/W junction-to-ambient resistance, in a local ambient of 85 °C:

Tj = 85 + 28 × 2.4 = 152 °C

against a 110 °C cap: 42 degrees over, on a part that a ratio-only review passes without comment. This is the case the foundations chapter means by the second axis, and it cannot be found on a schematic.

What the two fixes are worth

The stress factor and the temperature factor, on the two parts that failed. The capacitor's voltage stress divides by 2.9 when the part number changes; the regulator's temperature factor divides by 3.6 when the linear regulator becomes a switcher.
The stress factor and the temperature factor, on the two parts that failed. The capacitor's voltage stress divides by 2.9 when the part number changes; the regulator's temperature factor divides by 3.6 when the linear regulator becomes a switcher.

Derating is not a margin for its own sake, and the prediction says what each fix returns.

C12, through the voltage stress factor πV = (S/0.6)⁵ + 1:

at S = 0.75: (1.25)⁵ + 1 = 4.05 · at S = 0.50: (0.833)⁵ + 1 = 1.40

Changing one part number divides that capacitor's failure rate by 2.9, and the part costs the same.

U5, through the Arrhenius factor at Ea = 0.35 eV:

Junction temperatureπ_T
25 °C reference1.0
102 °C, as a switching regulator16.3
110 °C, the cap20.5
152 °C, as built58.8

Replacing the linear regulator with a switcher takes the dissipation from 2.4 W to about 0.6 W, which puts the junction at 85 + 28 × 0.6 = 102 °C: inside the cap, and 3.6 times less failure rate than as built. The switcher costs board area and some EMC work, and that is the trade the number is there to inform.

The margin on everything else

Every part ranked by stress ratio against its family's allowance. The ranking finds two of the three violations and puts the regulator in the middle of the pack looking healthier than the inductor, because nothing on this axis can show a junction temperature.
Every part ranked by stress ratio against its family's allowance. The ranking finds two of the three violations and puts the regulator in the middle of the pack looking healthier than the inductor, because nothing on this axis can show a junction temperature.

The passing parts are worth reading too. L2 at 0.70 against 0.75 and D2 at 0.63 against 0.75 are inside policy and have almost no headroom left: a load increase, a hotter orbit or an end-of-life tolerance moves either of them over. A derating report that lists only the violations has thrown away the early warning, which is the whole reason to keep the margins in the deliverable.

What the board looks like after the fixes

ChangeEffect
C12 → 35 V partS from 0.75 to 0.34; that capacitor's rate ÷ 2.9
K1 → 10 A contacts, or a solid-state switchS from 0.64 to 0.32, and the load-type mismatch removed
U5 → switching regulatorT_j from 152 °C to 102 °C; that regulator's rate ÷ 3.6
L2, D2 flaggedInside policy, under 0.10 of headroom, watch on any load change

Three part changes, no redesign, and they were available at schematic stage for the cost of noticing. That is the argument for running derating early: the same three findings after qualification are three requalifications.


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